David Branch vs Jared Cannonier
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-7-0Record18-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
42,0"Reach 77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Renzo Gracie Jiu-JitsuTeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
David Branch is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Jared Cannonier carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1769
If they lose-14→ 1745
If they win+19→ 1712
If they lose-13→ 1680
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1674 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1762 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
David BranchJared Cannonier
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jared Cannonier64%
David Branch 36%Elo baseline: 41%
The Combat Edge model makes Jared Cannonier a 64% favorite over David Branch in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans David Branch's way (41%).
David Branch holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1759 to 1693, a 66-point edge.
David Branch enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jared Cannonier enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
David Branch finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Jared Cannonier 72%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.