Combat Edge Intelligence

David Branch vs Joe Pyfer

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Joe Pyfer
us

Joe Pyfer

“Bodybagz”

16-3-0MiddleweightUFC

1763Great

Tale of the tape

22-7-0Record16-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
42,0"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Renzo Gracie Jiu-JitsuTeamTeam Balance

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

David BranchNow 1759
If they win+12→ 1771
If they lose-12→ 1747
Joe PyferNow 1763
If they win+16→ 1779
If they lose-16→ 1747

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1674 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.66
Sig. strikes / min
3.47
40%
Strike accuracy
43%
1.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.05
57%
Strike defense
54%
2.55
Takedown avg.
1.23
33%
Takedown accuracy
33%
44%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
1.02

Trajectory

David BranchJoe Pyfer
1700175018002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (27%)
KO/TKO
10 (63%)
7 (32%)
Submission
4 (25%)
9 (41%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Joe Pyfer72%
David Branch 28%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Joe Pyfer a 72% favorite over David Branch in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1759 vs 1763), separated by just 4 points.

David Branch enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Joe Pyfer enters on a 5-fight win streak.

David Branch finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Joe Pyfer 88%.

David Branch and Joe Pyfer share 1 common opponent: Jack Hermansson.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossSUB · 2019
Jack Hermansson
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2024