Combat Edge Intelligence

David Branch vs Krzysztof Jotko

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-7-0Record30-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
42,0"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Renzo Gracie Jiu-JitsuTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

David BranchNow 1759
If they win+12→ 1771
If they lose-12→ 1747
Krzysztof JotkoNow 1769
If they win+12→ 1781
If they lose-12→ 1757

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1674 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1663 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.66
Sig. strikes / min
2.98
40%
Strike accuracy
43%
1.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.23
57%
Strike defense
57%
2.55
Takedown avg.
1.33
33%
Takedown accuracy
19%
44%
Takedown defense
82%
0
Submission avg.
0.07

Trajectory

David BranchKrzysztof Jotko
175018002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (27%)
KO/TKO
8 (27%)
7 (32%)
Submission
2 (7%)
9 (41%)
Decision
20 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Krzysztof Jotko91%
David Branch 9%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Krzysztof Jotko a 91% favorite over David Branch in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1759 vs 1769), separated by just 10 points.

David Branch enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Krzysztof Jotko enters on a 6-fight win streak.

David Branch finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Krzysztof Jotko 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.