David Dvořák vs Jordan Espinosa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-6-0Record15-10-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'7"
68"Reach38,0"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
All Sports AcademyTeamLuttrell-Yee MMA
What's at stake
David Dvořák is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Jordan Espinosa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1671
If they lose-20→ 1639
If they win+15→ 1587
If they lose-9→ 1563
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1592 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
David DvořákJordan Espinosa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
David Dvořák72%
Jordan Espinosa 28%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes David Dvořák a 72% favorite over Jordan Espinosa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
David Dvořák holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1659 to 1572, a 87-point edge.
David Dvořák enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Jordan Espinosa enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
David Dvořák finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Jordan Espinosa 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.