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Combat Edge Intelligence

David Dvořák vs Kai Kara-France

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

22-7-0Record25-12-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
68"Reach69″
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
All Sports Academy· 1666 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamCity Kickboxing

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

David DvořákNow 1675
If they win+16→ 1691
If they lose-16→ 1659
Kai Kara-FranceNow 1679
If they win+12→ 1691
If they lose-12→ 1667

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1711 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.48
Sig. strikes / min
4.56
43%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.29
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.22
60%
Strike defense
65%
0.58
Takedown avg.
0.61
0%
Takedown accuracy
33%
70%
Takedown defense
88%
0.19
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

David DvořákKai Kara-France
1700202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (41%)
KO/TKO
12 (48%)
8 (36%)
Submission
3 (12%)
5 (23%)
Decision
10 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Kai Kara-France60%
David Dvořák 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Kai Kara-France a 60% favorite over David Dvořák in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1675 vs 1679), separated by just 4 points.

David Dvořák finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Kai Kara-France 60%.

David Dvořák and Kai Kara-France share 1 common opponent: Steve Erceg.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision - Unanimous · 2023
Steve Erceg
WinKO/TKO · 2024