David Dvořák vs Roque Conceicao
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-7-0Record12-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
68"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
All Sports Academy· 1666 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamCruel Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1691
If they lose-16→ 1659
If they win+16→ 1689
If they lose-16→ 1657
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
David DvořákRoque Conceicao
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Roque Conceicao64%
David Dvořák 36%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Roque Conceicao a 64% favorite over David Dvořák in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans David Dvořák's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1675 vs 1673), separated by just 2 points.
Roque Conceicao enters on a 2-fight win streak.
David Dvořák finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Roque Conceicao 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.