David Dvořák vs Jordan Espinosa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-7-0Record15-10-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'7"
68"Reach38,0"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
All Sports Academy· 1666 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamLuttrell-Yee MMA
What's at stake
David Dvořák is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jordan Espinosa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1686
If they lose-21→ 1654
If they win+15→ 1587
If they lose-9→ 1563
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
David DvořákJordan Espinosa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
David Dvořák69%
Jordan Espinosa 31%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes David Dvořák a 69% favorite over Jordan Espinosa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
David Dvořák holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1675 to 1572, a 103-point edge.
Jordan Espinosa enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
David Dvořák finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Jordan Espinosa 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.