Combat Edge Intelligence

David Dvořák vs Juancamilo Ronderos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Tale of the tape

20-6-0Record4-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'3"
68"Reach64,5"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
All Sports AcademyTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

David Dvořák is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Juancamilo Ronderos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

David DvořákNow 1660
If they win+11→ 1671
If they lose-21→ 1639
Juancamilo RonderosNow 1555
If they win+31→ 1586
If they lose-17→ 1538

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.48
Sig. strikes / min
2.18
43%
Strike accuracy
31%
3.29
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.18
60%
Strike defense
64%
0.58
Takedown avg.
2.72
30%
Takedown accuracy
33%
70%
Takedown defense
0%
0.19
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

David DvořákJuancamilo Ronderos
15501600165017002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (40%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
8 (40%)
Submission
2 (50%)
4 (20%)
Decision
2 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

David Dvořák57%
Juancamilo Ronderos 43%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes David Dvořák a 57% favorite over Juancamilo Ronderos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

David Dvořák holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1660 to 1555, a 105-point edge.

David Dvořák enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Juancamilo Ronderos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

David Dvořák finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Juancamilo Ronderos 50%.

David Dvořák carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.