Combat Edge Intelligence

David Dvořák vs Mateus Mendonça

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

20-6-0Record11-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
68"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
All Sports AcademyTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

David DvořákNow 1659
If they win+16→ 1675
If they lose-16→ 1643
Mateus MendonçaNow 1656
If they win+16→ 1672
If they lose-16→ 1640

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1592 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.48
Sig. strikes / min
1.66
43%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.29
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.14
60%
Strike defense
30%
0.58
Takedown avg.
2.54
30%
Takedown accuracy
27%
70%
Takedown defense
56%
0.19
Submission avg.
0.42

Trajectory

David DvořákMateus Mendonça
16501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (40%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
8 (40%)
Submission
5 (45%)
4 (20%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

David Dvořák55%
Mateus Mendonça 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes David Dvořák a 55% favorite over Mateus Mendonça in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1659 vs 1656), separated by just 3 points.

David Dvořák enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

David Dvořák finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Mateus Mendonça 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.