David Loiseau vs Evan Tanner
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-11-0Record32-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
192 lbsWeight185 lbs
Tristar GymTeamHard Knocks Kickboxing
What's at stake
Evan Tanner is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — David Loiseau carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1653
If they lose-15→ 1621
If they win+11→ 1663
If they lose-13→ 1639
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1640 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1617 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
David LoiseauEvan Tanner
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
David Loiseau60%
Evan Tanner 40%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes David Loiseau a 60% favorite over Evan Tanner in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Evan Tanner's way (48%).
Evan Tanner holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1652 to 1636, a 16-point edge.
David Loiseau finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Evan Tanner 91%.
David Loiseau and Evan Tanner share 1 common opponent: Rich Franklin.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.