David Loiseau vs Jorge Rivera
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-11-0Record20-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
192 lbsWeight185 lbs
Tristar GymTeamRivera Athletic Center
What's at stake
Jorge Rivera is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — David Loiseau carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1654
If they lose-14→ 1622
If they win+10→ 1691
If they lose-14→ 1667
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1640 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
David LoiseauJorge Rivera
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
David Loiseau54%
Jorge Rivera 46%Elo baseline: 44%
The Combat Edge model makes David Loiseau a 54% favorite over Jorge Rivera in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jorge Rivera's way (44%).
Jorge Rivera holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1681 to 1636, a 45-point edge.
David Loiseau finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Jorge Rivera 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.