David Loiseau vs Matthieu Duclos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-11-0Record10-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'3"
TBDReach77"
192 lbsWeight185 lbs
Tristar GymTeamVenum Training Camp Paris
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1652
If they lose-16→ 1620
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1640 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
David LoiseauMatthieu Duclos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matthieu Duclos68%
David Loiseau 32%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Matthieu Duclos a 68% favorite over David Loiseau in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans David Loiseau's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1636 vs 1634), separated by just 2 points.
Matthieu Duclos enters on a 4-fight win streak.
David Loiseau finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Matthieu Duclos 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.