David Loiseau vs Mike Swick
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-11-0Record15-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
192 lbsWeight170 lbs
Tristar GymTeamAKA Thailand
What's at stake
Mike Swick is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — David Loiseau carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1655
If they lose-13→ 1623
If they win+13→ 1711
If they lose-19→ 1679
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1640 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1651 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
David LoiseauMike Swick
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mike Swick61%
David Loiseau 39%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Mike Swick a 61% favorite over David Loiseau in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Mike Swick holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1698 to 1636, a 62-point edge.
Mike Swick enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
David Loiseau finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Mike Swick 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.