Combat Edge Intelligence

David Mitchell vs Mansur Abdul-Malik

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-7-0Record9-2-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
TBDReach79"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 ratedTeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

David MitchellNow 1684
If they win+12→ 1696
If they lose-12→ 1672
Mansur Abdul-MalikNow 1688
If they win+16→ 1704
If they lose-16→ 1672

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.74
Sig. strikes / min
3.28
33%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.06
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.49
56%
Strike defense
46%
0.66
Takedown avg.
1.65
50%
Takedown accuracy
0%
29%
Takedown defense
83%
1.99
Submission avg.
0.33

Trajectory

David MitchellMansur Abdul-Malik
1600165017001750201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (9%)
KO/TKO
7 (78%)
17 (77%)
Submission
2 (22%)
3 (14%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Mansur Abdul-Malik72%
David Mitchell 28%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Mansur Abdul-Malik a 72% favorite over David Mitchell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1684 vs 1688), separated by just 4 points.

Mansur Abdul-Malik enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

David Mitchell finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Mansur Abdul-Malik 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.