David Mitchell vs Marvin Vettori
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-7-0Record19-10-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 ratedTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1696
If they lose-12→ 1672
If they win+12→ 1700
If they lose-12→ 1676
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1753 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
David MitchellMarvin Vettori
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marvin Vettori70%
David Mitchell 30%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Marvin Vettori a 70% favorite over David Mitchell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1684 vs 1688), separated by just 4 points.
Marvin Vettori enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
David Mitchell finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Marvin Vettori 58%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.