David Onama vs Josh Emmett
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-3-0Record19-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'6"
74"Reach70"
149 lbsWeight145 lbs
Factory XTeamTeam Alpha Male
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1729
If they lose-16→ 1697
If they win+12→ 1724
If they lose-12→ 1700
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1640 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1753 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
David OnamaJosh Emmett
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
David Onama63%
Josh Emmett 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes David Onama a 63% favorite over Josh Emmett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1713 vs 1712), separated by just 1 points.
Josh Emmett enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
David Onama finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Josh Emmett 47%.
David Onama carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.