David Onama vs Mason Jones
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-3-0Record18-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
74"Reach74"
149 lbsWeight156 lbs
Factory XTeamPedro Bessa BJJ
What's at stake
Mason Jones is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — David Onama carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1730
If they lose-15→ 1698
If they win+15→ 1759
If they lose-17→ 1727
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1640 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1603 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
David OnamaMason Jones
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mason Jones60%
David Onama 40%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Mason Jones a 60% favorite over David Onama in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Mason Jones holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1744 to 1713, a 31-point edge.
Mason Jones enters on a 7-fight win streak.
David Onama finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Mason Jones 61%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.