David Onama vs Nate Landwehr
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-3-0Record18-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'9"
74"Reach72"
149 lbsWeight145 lbs
Factory XTeamMMA Masters
What's at stake
David Onama is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Nate Landwehr carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1726
If they lose-19→ 1694
If they win+19→ 1659
If they lose-13→ 1627
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1640 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
David OnamaNate Landwehr
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
David Onama73%
Nate Landwehr 27%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes David Onama a 73% favorite over Nate Landwehr in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
David Onama holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1713 to 1640, a 73-point edge.
Nate Landwehr enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
David Onama finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Nate Landwehr 61%.
David Onama carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.