David Samuel vs Hazem Kayyali
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-0-0Record3-1-2
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'2"
-Reach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Nikolay TeamTeam
What's at stake
David Samuel is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Hazem Kayyali carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1677
If they lose-29→ 1629
If they win+29→ 1608
If they lose-19→ 1560
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1504 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
David SamuelHazem Kayyali
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
David Samuel64%
Hazem Kayyali 36%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes David Samuel a 64% favorite over Hazem Kayyali in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
David Samuel holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1658 to 1579, a 79-point edge.
David Samuel enters on a 7-fight win streak.
David Samuel finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Hazem Kayyali 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.