David Samuel vs Peace Nguphane
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-0-0Record9-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
-Reach70.7"
170 lbsWeight168 lbs
What's at stake
David Samuel is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Peace Nguphane carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1679
If they lose-27→ 1631
If they win+18→ 1637
If they lose-14→ 1605
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1504 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
David SamuelPeace Nguphane
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
David Samuel61%
Peace Nguphane 39%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes David Samuel a 61% favorite over Peace Nguphane in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
David Samuel holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1658 to 1619, a 39-point edge.
David Samuel enters on a 7-fight win streak.
David Samuel finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Peace Nguphane 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.