David Samuel vs Shido Boris Esperança
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-0-0Record12-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
-Reach70.5"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
Shido Boris Esperança is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — David Samuel carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1684
If they lose-22→ 1636
If they win+14→ 1707
If they lose-18→ 1675
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1504 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
David SamuelShido Boris Esperança
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shido Boris Esperança66%
David Samuel 34%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Shido Boris Esperança a 66% favorite over David Samuel in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Shido Boris Esperança holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1693 to 1658, a 35-point edge.
David Samuel enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Shido Boris Esperança enters on a 2-fight win streak.
David Samuel finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Shido Boris Esperança 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.