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Combat Edge Intelligence

David Wright vs José Medina

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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David Wright
us

David Wright

“The Smoke”

6-4-0MiddleweightLFA

1539Average

Tale of the tape

6-4-0Record11-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
-Reach74″
185 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

David WrightNow 1539
If they win+16→ 1555
If they lose-16→ 1523
José MedinaNow 1537
If they win+16→ 1553
If they lose-16→ 1521

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1503 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.16
Not available
Strike accuracy
37%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.07
Not available
Strike defense
47%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.40
Not available
Takedown accuracy
33%
Not available
Takedown defense
28%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

David WrightJosé Medina
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
8 (73%)
3 (50%)
Submission
2 (18%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

José Medina53%
David Wright 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes José Medina a 53% favorite over David Wright in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans David Wright's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1539 vs 1537), separated by just 2 points.

David Wright enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

José Medina enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

David Wright finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, José Medina 91%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.