Combat Edge Intelligence

Deiveson Figueiredo vs Joseph Morales

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-7-1Record14-2-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'6"
68"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team FigueiredoTeamTeam Alpha Male

What's at stake

Deiveson Figueiredo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Joseph Morales carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Deiveson FigueiredoNow 1764
If they win+10→ 1774
If they lose-14→ 1750
Joseph MoralesNow 1714
If they win+18→ 1732
If they lose-14→ 1700

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1755 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.63
Sig. strikes / min
2.02
54%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.11
50%
Strike defense
57%
1.61
Takedown avg.
1.23
35%
Takedown accuracy
43%
58%
Takedown defense
29%
1.22
Submission avg.
2.87

Trajectory

Deiveson FigueiredoJoseph Morales
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (36%)
KO/TKO
2 (14%)
9 (36%)
Submission
8 (57%)
7 (28%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Deiveson Figueiredo52%
Joseph Morales 48%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Deiveson Figueiredo a 52% favorite over Joseph Morales in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Deiveson Figueiredo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1764 to 1714, a 50-point edge.

Deiveson Figueiredo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Joseph Morales enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Deiveson Figueiredo finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Joseph Morales 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.