Combat Edge Intelligence

Deiveson Figueiredo vs Marco Beltran

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-7-1Record18-10-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'8"
68"Reach39,0"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team FigueiredoTeamAranha Barcelona BJJ

What's at stake

Deiveson Figueiredo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Marco Beltran carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Deiveson FigueiredoNow 1764
If they win+7→ 1771
If they lose-17→ 1747
Marco BeltranNow 1614
If they win+17→ 1631
If they lose-7→ 1607

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1755 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.63
Sig. strikes / min
2.07
54%
Strike accuracy
38%
3.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.93
50%
Strike defense
63%
1.61
Takedown avg.
0.70
35%
Takedown accuracy
50%
58%
Takedown defense
46%
1.22
Submission avg.
0.23

Trajectory

Deiveson FigueiredoMarco Beltran
1600165017001750180020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (36%)
KO/TKO
4 (22%)
9 (36%)
Submission
10 (56%)
7 (28%)
Decision
4 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Deiveson Figueiredo92%
Marco Beltran 8%Elo baseline: 70%

The Combat Edge model makes Deiveson Figueiredo a 92% favorite over Marco Beltran in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).

Deiveson Figueiredo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1764 to 1614, a 150-point edge.

Deiveson Figueiredo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Marco Beltran enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Deiveson Figueiredo finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Marco Beltran 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.