Combat Edge Intelligence

Deiveson Figueiredo vs Taylor Lapilus

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-7-1Record25-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'6"
68"Reach73"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team FigueiredoTeamMMA Factory

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Deiveson FigueiredoNow 1764
If they win+12→ 1776
If they lose-12→ 1752
Taylor LapilusNow 1755
If they win+16→ 1771
If they lose-16→ 1739

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1755 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1640 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.57
Sig. strikes / min
4.59
54%
Strike accuracy
48%
3.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.61
50%
Strike defense
63%
1.61
Takedown avg.
0.27
8%
Takedown accuracy
33%
57%
Takedown defense
77%
1.18
Submission avg.
0.27

Trajectory

Deiveson FigueiredoTaylor Lapilus
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (36%)
KO/TKO
5 (20%)
9 (36%)
Submission
6 (24%)
7 (28%)
Decision
14 (56%)

Combat Edge model read

Taylor Lapilus60%
Deiveson Figueiredo 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Taylor Lapilus a 60% favorite over Deiveson Figueiredo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Deiveson Figueiredo's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1764 vs 1755), separated by just 9 points.

Deiveson Figueiredo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Taylor Lapilus enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Deiveson Figueiredo finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Taylor Lapilus 44%.

Taylor Lapilus carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.