Combat Edge Intelligence

Deiveson Figueiredo vs TJ Dillashaw

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-7-1Record17-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'6"
68"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team FigueiredoTeamThe Treigning Lab

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Deiveson FigueiredoNow 1764
If they win+12→ 1776
If they lose-12→ 1752
TJ DillashawNow 1763
If they win+16→ 1779
If they lose-16→ 1747

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1755 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1755 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.63
Sig. strikes / min
5.09
54%
Strike accuracy
41%
3.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.47
50%
Strike defense
62%
1.61
Takedown avg.
1.56
35%
Takedown accuracy
31%
58%
Takedown defense
78%
1.22
Submission avg.
0.82

Trajectory

Deiveson FigueiredoTJ Dillashaw
1750180020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (36%)
KO/TKO
8 (47%)
9 (36%)
Submission
3 (18%)
7 (28%)
Decision
6 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Deiveson Figueiredo66%
TJ Dillashaw 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Deiveson Figueiredo a 66% favorite over TJ Dillashaw in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1764 vs 1763), separated by just 1 points.

Deiveson Figueiredo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Deiveson Figueiredo finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, TJ Dillashaw 65%.

Deiveson Figueiredo and TJ Dillashaw share 2 common opponents: Cory Sandhagen and Cody Garbrandt.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossTKO · 2025
Cory Sandhagen
WinDecision (split) · 2021
WinSubmission · 2024
Cody Garbrandt
WinKO/TKO · 2018
WinKO/TKO · 2017