Demetrious Johnson vs Tim Elliott
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-4-1Record22-14-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'3"Height5'7"
66.00"Reach66"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
AMC PankrationTeamNext Generation Mixed Martial Arts
What's at stake
Demetrious Johnson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Tim Elliott carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+6→ 1854
If they lose-18→ 1830
If they win+18→ 1675
If they lose-6→ 1651
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1676 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Demetrious JohnsonTim Elliott
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Demetrious Johnson76%
Tim Elliott 24%Elo baseline: 75%
The Combat Edge model makes Demetrious Johnson a 76% favorite over Tim Elliott in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).
Demetrious Johnson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1848 to 1657, a 191-point edge.
Demetrious Johnson enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Demetrious Johnson finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Tim Elliott 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.