Demian Maia vs Thad Jean
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
28-11-0Record12-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReach77"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Demian Maia Jiu-JitsuTeamFight Sports Deerfield Beach
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1786
If they lose-12→ 1762
If they win+16→ 1786
If they lose-16→ 1754
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1767 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Demian MaiaThad Jean
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Thad Jean73%
Demian Maia 27%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Thad Jean a 73% favorite over Demian Maia in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Demian Maia's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1774 vs 1770), separated by just 4 points.
Demian Maia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Thad Jean enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Demian Maia finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Thad Jean 58%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.