Combat Edge Intelligence

Denis Kang vs Michael Bisping

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

35-16-2Record30-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'2"
TBDReach75″
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top TeamTeamHB Ultimate

What's at stake

Michael Bisping is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Denis Kang carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Denis KangNow 1619
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-8→ 1611
Michael BispingNow 1741
If they win+8→ 1749
If they lose-16→ 1725

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1647 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1748 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2
Sig. strikes / min
4.33
39%
Strike accuracy
38%
4.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.71
67%
Strike defense
65%
3.53
Takedown avg.
1.05
67%
Takedown accuracy
43%
38%
Takedown defense
63%
0.88
Submission avg.
0.32

Trajectory

Denis KangMichael Bisping
16001650170017502011201220132014201520162017

Win method breakdown

15 (43%)
KO/TKO
18 (60%)
14 (40%)
Submission
2 (7%)
6 (17%)
Decision
10 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Michael Bisping78%
Denis Kang 22%Elo baseline: 67%

The Combat Edge model makes Michael Bisping a 78% favorite over Denis Kang in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).

Michael Bisping holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1741 to 1619, a 122-point edge.

Denis Kang enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Michael Bisping enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Denis Kang finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Michael Bisping 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.