Combat Edge Intelligence

Denis Maher vs Dustin Stoltzfus

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-3-0Record17-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height5'11"
-Reach75"
172 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Denis MaherNow 1657
If they win+16→ 1673
If they lose-16→ 1641
Dustin StoltzfusNow 1660
If they win+12→ 1672
If they lose-12→ 1648

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1682 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.30
Not available
Strike accuracy
45%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.23
Not available
Strike defense
48%
Not available
Takedown avg.
2.08
Not available
Takedown accuracy
10%
Not available
Takedown defense
47%
Not available
Submission avg.
1.11

Trajectory

Denis MaherDustin Stoltzfus
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (42%)
KO/TKO
3 (19%)
5 (42%)
Submission
7 (44%)
2 (17%)
Decision
6 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Dustin Stoltzfus73%
Denis Maher 27%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dustin Stoltzfus a 73% favorite over Denis Maher in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1657 vs 1660), separated by just 3 points.

Denis Maher enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Denis Maher finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Dustin Stoltzfus 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.