Denis Tiuliulin vs Gregory Rodrigues
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-10-0Record19-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
77"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Evolve GymTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Gregory Rodrigues is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Denis Tiuliulin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1562
If they lose-7→ 1530
If they win+5→ 1770
If they lose-19→ 1746
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1701 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Denis TiuliulinGregory Rodrigues
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gregory Rodrigues92%
Denis Tiuliulin 8%Elo baseline: 79%
The Combat Edge model makes Gregory Rodrigues a 92% favorite over Denis Tiuliulin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (79%).
Gregory Rodrigues holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1765 to 1537, a 228-point edge.
Denis Tiuliulin enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Gregory Rodrigues enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Denis Tiuliulin finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Gregory Rodrigues 79%.
Denis Tiuliulin and Gregory Rodrigues share 1 common opponent: Christian Leroy Duncan.
Denis Tiuliulin carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.