Combat Edge Intelligence

Denise Gomes vs Elise Reed

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-3-0Record8-5-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'3"
63"Reach63"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Parana Vale TudoTeamKickside Martial Arts

What's at stake

Denise Gomes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Elise Reed carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Denise GomesNow 1710
If they win+9→ 1719
If they lose-23→ 1687
Elise ReedNow 1553
If they win+23→ 1576
If they lose-9→ 1544

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1619 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.43
Sig. strikes / min
3.41
49%
Strike accuracy
53%
3.16
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.26
52%
Strike defense
52%
1.45
Takedown avg.
0.46
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
67%
Takedown defense
53%
0.72
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Denise GomesElise Reed
1550160016501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (58%)
KO/TKO
2 (25%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (42%)
Decision
6 (75%)

Combat Edge model read

Denise Gomes92%
Elise Reed 8%Elo baseline: 71%

The Combat Edge model makes Denise Gomes a 92% favorite over Elise Reed in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).

Denise Gomes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1710 to 1553, a 157-point edge.

Denise Gomes enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Denise Gomes finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Elise Reed 25%.

Denise Gomes and Elise Reed share 1 common opponent: Loma Lookboonmee.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (unanimous) · 2022
Loma Lookboonmee
LossSubmission · 2023