Denise Gomes vs Mackenzie Dern
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-3-0Record17-5-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'4"
63"Reach63"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Parana Vale Tudo· 1661 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamRVCA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1746
If they lose-16→ 1714
If they win+16→ 1751
If they lose-16→ 1719
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1633 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1691 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Denise GomesMackenzie Dern
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mackenzie Dern59%
Denise Gomes 41%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Mackenzie Dern a 59% favorite over Denise Gomes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1730 vs 1735), separated by just 5 points.
Denise Gomes enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Mackenzie Dern enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Denise Gomes finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Mackenzie Dern 47%.
Denise Gomes and Mackenzie Dern share 3 common opponents: Xiaonan Yan, Tecia Pennington and Angela Hill.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.