Combat Edge Intelligence

Denise Gomes vs Tecia Pennington

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-3-0Record15-8-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'1"
63"Reach60″
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Parana Vale Tudo· 1661 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Denise Gomes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Tecia Pennington carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Denise GomesNow 1730
If they win+13→ 1743
If they lose-19→ 1711
Tecia PenningtonNow 1658
If they win+19→ 1677
If they lose-13→ 1645

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1633 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1663 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.43
Sig. strikes / min
4.78
49%
Strike accuracy
48%
3.16
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.48
52%
Strike defense
62%
1.45
Takedown avg.
0.54
0%
Takedown accuracy
14%
67%
Takedown defense
62%
0.72
Submission avg.
0.06

Trajectory

Denise GomesTecia Pennington
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (62%)
KO/TKO
1 (7%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (7%)
5 (38%)
Decision
13 (87%)

Combat Edge model read

Denise Gomes70%
Tecia Pennington 30%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Denise Gomes a 70% favorite over Tecia Pennington in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Denise Gomes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1730 to 1658, a 72-point edge.

Denise Gomes enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Denise Gomes finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Tecia Pennington 13%.

Denise Gomes and Tecia Pennington share 1 common opponent: Angela Hill.

Denise Gomes carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision - Unanimous · 2023
Angela Hill
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2021