Denise Gomes vs Tecia Pennington
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-3-0Record15-8-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'1"
63"Reach60″
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Parana Vale TudoTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Denise Gomes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Tecia Pennington carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1724
If they lose-18→ 1692
If they win+18→ 1676
If they lose-14→ 1644
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1619 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Denise GomesTecia Pennington
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Denise Gomes78%
Tecia Pennington 22%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Denise Gomes a 78% favorite over Tecia Pennington in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Denise Gomes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1710 to 1658, a 52-point edge.
Denise Gomes enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Denise Gomes finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Tecia Pennington 13%.
Denise Gomes and Tecia Pennington share 1 common opponent: Angela Hill.
Denise Gomes carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.