Denise Gomes vs Xiaonan Yan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-3-0Record19-5-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'5"
63"Reach63"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Parana Vale Tudo· 1663 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 rated
What's at stake
Xiaonan Yan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Denise Gomes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1727
If they lose-15→ 1695
If they win+15→ 1749
If they lose-17→ 1717
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1619 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1698 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Denise GomesXiaonan Yan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Denise Gomes66%
Xiaonan Yan 34%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Denise Gomes a 66% favorite over Xiaonan Yan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Xiaonan Yan's way (47%).
Xiaonan Yan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1734 to 1710, a 24-point edge.
Denise Gomes enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Denise Gomes finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Xiaonan Yan 47%.
Denise Gomes and Xiaonan Yan share 2 common opponents: Karolina Kowalkiewicz and Angela Hill.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.