Combat Edge Intelligence

Dennis Bermudez vs Dom Mar Fan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dom Mar Fan
au

Dom Mar Fan

“Street Buddha”

9-3-0LightweightUFC

1629Solid

Tale of the tape

17-9-0Record9-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height6'0"
66,0"Reach75"
145 lbsWeight156 lbs
Long Island MMATeamTeam Compton Training Centre

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dennis BermudezNow 1629
If they win+12→ 1641
If they lose-12→ 1617
Dom Mar FanNow 1629
If they win+16→ 1645
If they lose-16→ 1613

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1649 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1548 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.42
Sig. strikes / min
3.71
46%
Strike accuracy
56%
3.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.49
59%
Strike defense
44%
3.89
Takedown avg.
2
40%
Takedown accuracy
50%
83%
Takedown defense
67%
1.07
Submission avg.
0.33

Trajectory

Dennis BermudezDom Mar Fan
15001550160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (24%)
KO/TKO
1 (11%)
3 (18%)
Submission
3 (33%)
10 (59%)
Decision
5 (56%)

Combat Edge model read

Dom Mar Fan67%
Dennis Bermudez 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dom Mar Fan a 67% favorite over Dennis Bermudez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dennis Bermudez's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1629 vs 1629), separated by just 0 points.

Dennis Bermudez finishes 41% of wins inside the distance, Dom Mar Fan 44%.

Dom Mar Fan carries a 9-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.