Combat Edge Intelligence

Dennis Buzukja vs Tristan Connelly

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record14-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'11"
70"Reach68"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Longo and Weidman MMATeamRyan's MMA - Checkmat Vancouver

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dennis BuzukjaNow 1600
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584
Tristan ConnellyNow 1598
If they win+16→ 1614
If they lose-16→ 1582

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1599 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.21
Sig. strikes / min
3.31
43%
Strike accuracy
51%
4.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.96
49%
Strike defense
51%
0.62
Takedown avg.
0.33
27%
Takedown accuracy
14%
75%
Takedown defense
60%
0.21
Submission avg.
0.33

Trajectory

Dennis BuzukjaTristan Connelly
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (42%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
1 (8%)
Submission
9 (64%)
6 (50%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Dennis Buzukja66%
Tristan Connelly 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dennis Buzukja a 66% favorite over Tristan Connelly in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1598), separated by just 2 points.

Dennis Buzukja enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Tristan Connelly enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Dennis Buzukja finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Tristan Connelly 93%.

Dennis Buzukja carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.