Combat Edge Intelligence

Denys Bondar vs Jose Johnson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record16-10-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height6'0"
69"Reach71"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
YodTeamTwin Wolves MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Denys BondarNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594
Jose JohnsonNow 1608
If they win+12→ 1620
If they lose-12→ 1596

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1616 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.59
Sig. strikes / min
2.22
51%
Strike accuracy
58%
5.16
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.64
57%
Strike defense
53%
3.99
Takedown avg.
0.71
58%
Takedown accuracy
60%
63%
Takedown defense
39%
0
Submission avg.
0.71

Trajectory

Denys BondarJose Johnson
16001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (29%)
KO/TKO
8 (50%)
10 (71%)
Submission
3 (19%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Denys Bondar and Jose Johnson within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1608), separated by just 2 points.

Denys Bondar enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Jose Johnson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Denys Bondar finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jose Johnson 69%.

Jose Johnson carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.