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Combat Edge Intelligence

Dequan Townsend vs Luis Felipe Dias

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

26-13-0Record18-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height5'10"
79,0"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Murcielago MMA· 1670 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamParana Vale Tudo· 1661 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dequan TownsendNow 1619
If they win+12→ 1631
If they lose-12→ 1607
Luis Felipe DiasNow 1619
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1546 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.23
Sig. strikes / min
2.86
35%
Strike accuracy
45%
3.92
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.71
39%
Strike defense
55%
0
Takedown avg.
4.52
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
47%
Takedown defense
67%
0
Submission avg.
1.13

Trajectory

Dequan TownsendLuis Felipe Dias
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (54%)
KO/TKO
9 (50%)
5 (19%)
Submission
8 (44%)
7 (27%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Dequan Townsend and Luis Felipe Dias within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1619), separated by just 0 points.

Dequan Townsend enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Dequan Townsend finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Luis Felipe Dias 94%.

Dequan Townsend carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.