Derek Brunson vs Jared Cannonier
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-9-0Record18-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
77,0"Reach 77"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
Derek Brunson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Jared Cannonier carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1765
If they lose-14→ 1741
If they win+18→ 1725
If they lose-14→ 1693
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1744 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1758 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Derek BrunsonJared Cannonier
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Derek Brunson58%
Jared Cannonier 42%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Derek Brunson a 58% favorite over Jared Cannonier in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Derek Brunson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1755 to 1707, a 48-point edge.
Derek Brunson finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Jared Cannonier 72%.
Derek Brunson and Jared Cannonier share 1 common opponent: Israel Adesanya.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.