Derek Brunson vs Jared Cannonier
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-9-0Record18-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
77,0"Reach 77"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
Derek Brunson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Jared Cannonier carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1766
If they lose-14→ 1742
If they win+19→ 1712
If they lose-13→ 1680
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1745 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1763 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Derek BrunsonJared Cannonier
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Derek Brunson53%
Jared Cannonier 47%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Derek Brunson a 53% favorite over Jared Cannonier in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Derek Brunson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1756 to 1693, a 63-point edge.
Jared Cannonier enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Derek Brunson finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Jared Cannonier 72%.
Derek Brunson and Jared Cannonier share 1 common opponent: Israel Adesanya.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.