Derek Brunson vs Robert Whittaker
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-9-0Record27-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
77,0"Reach73"
186 lbsWeight186 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamPMA Super Martial Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1767
If they lose-12→ 1743
If they win+12→ 1764
If they lose-12→ 1740
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1744 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1752 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Derek BrunsonRobert Whittaker
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Robert Whittaker72%
Derek Brunson 28%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Robert Whittaker a 72% favorite over Derek Brunson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Derek Brunson's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1755 vs 1752), separated by just 3 points.
Derek Brunson finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Robert Whittaker 59%.
Derek Brunson and Robert Whittaker share 3 common opponents: Dricus Du Plessis, Jared Cannonier and Israel Adesanya.
Derek Brunson carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.