Combat Edge Intelligence

Derek Getzel vs Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Derek Getzel
us

Derek Getzel

“The Pretzel”

8-6-0WelterweightDP

1503Average

Tale of the tape

8-6-0Record6-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Derek GetzelNow 1503
If they win+16→ 1519
If they lose-16→ 1487
Eslam Mostafa Abdel MenemNow 1507
If they win+24→ 1531
If they lose-24→ 1483

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1478 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Derek GetzelEslam Mostafa Abdel Menem
1500155020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (75%)
KO/TKO
1 (17%)
2 (25%)
Submission
2 (33%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem56%
Derek Getzel 44%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem a 56% favorite over Derek Getzel in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1503 vs 1507), separated by just 4 points.

Derek Getzel enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Derek Getzel finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.