Combat Edge Intelligence

Derek Getzel vs Giuliano Nicolas

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Derek Getzel
us

Derek Getzel

“The Pretzel”

8-6-0WelterweightDP

1503Average

Tale of the tape

8-6-0Record4-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'8"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Derek GetzelNow 1503
If they win+16→ 1519
If they lose-16→ 1487
Giuliano NicolasNow 1498
If they win+24→ 1522
If they lose-24→ 1474

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1478 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Derek GetzelGiuliano Nicolas
1500155020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (75%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
2 (25%)
Submission
2 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Giuliano Nicolas56%
Derek Getzel 44%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Giuliano Nicolas a 56% favorite over Derek Getzel in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Derek Getzel's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1503 vs 1498), separated by just 5 points.

Derek Getzel enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Giuliano Nicolas enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Derek Getzel finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Giuliano Nicolas 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.