Combat Edge Intelligence

Derek Getzel vs Joshua Onwordi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Derek Getzel
us

Derek Getzel

“The Pretzel”

8-6-0WelterweightDP

1503Average

Tale of the tape

8-6-0Record7-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'9"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
McCune's Martial ArtsTeamBKK Fighters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Derek GetzelNow 1503
If they win+16→ 1519
If they lose-16→ 1487
Joshua OnwordiNow 1502
If they win+16→ 1518
If they lose-16→ 1486

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1478 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Derek GetzelJoshua Onwordi
14501500155020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (75%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
2 (25%)
Submission
2 (29%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (71%)

Combat Edge model read

Joshua Onwordi53%
Derek Getzel 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Onwordi a 53% favorite over Derek Getzel in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Derek Getzel's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1503 vs 1502), separated by just 1 points.

Derek Getzel enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Derek Getzel finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Joshua Onwordi 29%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.