Combat Edge Intelligence

Deron Winn vs Gilbert Urbina

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-3-0Record8-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'6"Height6'3"
TBDReach75"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1641 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamBMF Ranch

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Deron WinnNow 1596
If they win+16→ 1612
If they lose-16→ 1580
Gilbert UrbinaNow 1597
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1588 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.55
Sig. strikes / min
5.57
45%
Strike accuracy
57%
6.21
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.62
46%
Strike defense
45%
4.28
Takedown avg.
2.86
53%
Takedown accuracy
44%
40%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0.71

Trajectory

Deron WinnGilbert Urbina
160016502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (57%)
KO/TKO
3 (38%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (25%)
3 (43%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Gilbert Urbina63%
Deron Winn 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gilbert Urbina a 63% favorite over Deron Winn in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1596 vs 1597), separated by just 1 points.

Deron Winn finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Gilbert Urbina 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.