Derrick Lewis vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-14-0Record17-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
79"Reach78"
264 lbsWeight262 lbs
What's at stake
Waldo Cortes-Acosta is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Derrick Lewis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1758
If they lose-11→ 1734
If they win+14→ 1793
If they lose-18→ 1761
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1718 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Derrick LewisWaldo Cortes-Acosta
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Waldo Cortes-Acosta73%
Derrick Lewis 27%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Waldo Cortes-Acosta a 73% favorite over Derrick Lewis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Waldo Cortes-Acosta holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1779 to 1745, a 34-point edge.
Derrick Lewis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Derrick Lewis finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Waldo Cortes-Acosta 59%.
Derrick Lewis and Waldo Cortes-Acosta share 2 common opponents: Serghei Spivac and Sergei Pavlovich.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.