Devan Worth vs Thomas Blackorby
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Thomas Blackorby64%
Devan Worth 36%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Thomas Blackorby a 64% favorite over Devan Worth in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Thomas Blackorby holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1707 to 1662, a 45-point edge.
Thomas Blackorby enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Devan Worth finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Thomas Blackorby 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
5-1-0Record6-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
TBDHeight6'0"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
Thomas Blackorby is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Devan Worth carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1680
If they lose-14→ 1648
If they win+14→ 1721
If they lose-18→ 1689
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Devan WorthThomas Blackorby