Deven Manibusan vs Josue Orozco
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Josue Orozco61%
Deven Manibusan 39%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Josue Orozco a 61% favorite over Deven Manibusan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Josue Orozco holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1524 to 1476, a 48-point edge.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
0-0-0Record0-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
TBDHeight5'11"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight154 lbs
What's at stake
Josue Orozco is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Deven Manibusan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+27→ 1503
If they lose-21→ 1455
If they win+21→ 1545
If they lose-27→ 1497
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.