Deven Manibusan vs Josue Orozco

DateOct 2, 2026

DivisionLightweight

StatusScheduled

VenueMinot Air Force Base

BroadcastUFC Fight Pass

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Friday, October 2, 2026 — watch on UFC Fight Pass.

US East (ET): Fri 6:15 PM
US West (PT): Fri 3:15 PM
United Kingdom: Fri 11:15 PM
Central Europe: Sat 12:15 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sat 8:15 AM
Your time

Deven Manibusan0-0-0Deven Manibusan vs Josue OrozcoJosue Orozco0-0-0

Deven Manibusan0-0-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

0-0-0Record0-0-0

TBDAgeTBD

TBDHeight5'11"

-ReachTBD

155 lbsWeight154 lbs

LightweightWeight ClassLightweight

Josue Orozco0-0-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

The Elo matchup is close or still provisional. Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Deven Manibusan and Josue Orozco across their careers →

Recent form

Deven ManibusanNo counted pro MMA fights yet

No recent Elo history

Josue OrozcoNo counted pro MMA fights yet

No recent Elo history

Elo edge

Deven ManibusanTBDTBD last move

Josue OrozcoTBDTBD last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

49%Deven Manibusan51%Josue Orozco

Model favoriteJosue Orozco

Elo baseline50% for Josue Orozco

Matchup adjustment+1 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Josue OrozcoStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model breaks Elo tie

Elo alone has this matchup at 50/50. The full matchup model separates the fighters and leans Josue Orozco at 51%.

Current Elo ratingsNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Recent opponent qualityNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Elo record depthNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Deven ManibusanvsJosue Orozco

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Deven ManibusanNo tracked pro wins

Josue OrozcoNo tracked pro wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Deven ManibusanJosue Orozco

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC lightweight average : 3.82

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC lightweight average : 46%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC lightweight average : 3.91

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC lightweight average : 53%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC lightweight average : 1.69

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC lightweight average : 29%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC lightweight average : 59%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC lightweight average : 0.50

0Wins by knockout0

0Wins by submission0

0Wins by decision0

0Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision0

Deven Manibusan vs Josue Orozco is a scheduled Lightweight fight on FURY FC 125 : FIGHT FORCE. Deven Manibusan enters with a 0-0-0 record and Josue Orozco enters with a 0-0-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.