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Combat Edge Intelligence

Deven Manibusan vs Michael Lerma

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Michael Lerma

Michael Lerma

“Body Snatcher”

0-1-0LightweightK-1

1473Average

Tale of the tape

0-0-0Record0-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
TBDHeight6'0"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight154 lbs
TeamIronhorse Boxing Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Deven ManibusanNow 1476
If they win+24→ 1500
If they lose-24→ 1452
Michael LermaNow 1473
If they win+24→ 1497
If they lose-24→ 1449

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.46
Not available
Strike accuracy
54%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.23
Not available
Strike defense
53%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.27
Not available
Takedown accuracy
52%
Not available
Takedown defense
77%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.81

Combat Edge model read

Deven Manibusan63%
Michael Lerma 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Deven Manibusan a 63% favorite over Michael Lerma in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1476 vs 1473), separated by just 3 points.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.